The worst is behind us according to many analysts and economists. Covid-19 has had the most damaging impact to the economy since the Great Depression yet there are signs that improvement has commenced even though the world is still in the grips of the pandemic.
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Australia’s economic growth phenomena of going without recession has finally ended after 29 years. The official GDP for the March quarter came in at -0.3%, the worst growth seen since the GFC.
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Despite the severe isolation measures put in place in countries all over the world, markets were generally strong through April. The US weekly jobless claims come off the record set in late March however the number of claims each week through April was still staggeringly high with over 30 million Americans having lost their jobs in just six weeks.
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The full effect of the impact of Covid-19 isolation measures taken in Australia, the UK, Europe and the US became apparent.
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The response to the coronavirus, now officially named COVID-19 remained the single biggest issue for financial markets through February.
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The declaration by the World Health Organisation (WHO) that the outbreak of 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019 nCoV) is a global health emergency sent market volatility higher.
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Global investor sentiment was bullish towards the end of December, which is not only consistent with the Santa Claus rally but may also reflect investor optimism about stronger global economic conditions into 2020.
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Domestic and global markets displayed strong performance in November, with US and Australian equity markets both reaching all-time highs. These appeared to be minimally impacted by ongoing concerns surrounding poor economic data and various geopolitical risks including those brought about by the US-China trade war.
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After a period of predominately negative news, the leaders and trade representatives of the US and China made some progress in the form of the phase one agreement.
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There were signs of the US-China trade tensions easing earlier in the month as a result of news of China exempting specific US products from previous tariffs and the US delaying a 5% increase to tariffs on US$250 billion worth of Chinese imports.
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